The sample size is small, but in his ten games in 2020, Harris had 137 carries for 691 yards and two touchdowns in an offense where the quarterback averaged 9+ carries a game. So it should be no problem for Harris to jump from 13.7 carries per game to 15, which would get him to 255 carries over a 17-game season. His career 5.04 yards per carry pace brings him to 1,275 yards.
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All in all, this is a great quarterback class. It could be one of the best ones we have ever seen in terms of fantasy production. There’s no Josh Rosens or Geno Smiths who belong as backups instead of starters. It’s also apparent the majority of these players landed in ideal situations. Feel good about spending draft capital and investing in these players. You will see return on investment sooner, rather than later.
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One of the most significant factors in fantasy football success is finding value while minimizing risk. With a plethora of information available, it’s essential to find an edge. Breakout candidates are one of those edges, but players who could regress are equally as important.
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Organizations who weren’t ready to develop raw talent saw their early first-round picks fizzle out quickly. Dwayne Haskins, Blake Bortles, and JaMarcus Russell immediately come to mind. However, others like Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes, and Cam Newton saw success with organizations dedicated to helping their future stars progress. In 2021, San Francisco is one team in particular who is set up very well to groom their future star.
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